finished reading The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck 🌕🌕🌕🌑🌑
by David Spiegelhalter.
A fairly readable overview of probability & uncertainty, from the straightforward games of chance through to the deep uncertainty of future risks such as climate change & AI. Not sure who it's aimed at: some of it is too complex for the layman, but not deep enough for the technically minded. Has some good examples, especially from covid. Would have liked some worked examples of how to apply its principles to real life decision-making.
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@WildWoila @wildwoila@wyrms.de